Sunday, March 16, 2025

Proactive strategies to avoid Start-up failure.

 

Millions of start-ups begin their operations every year in the world, but only 10% survive beyond 10 years and a very very few i.e. @1% reach the unicorn level. Since entrepreneurs are trying out new and unique ideas, something which is new to customer, something which can change the business perspective; a high failure rate is expected. However, 90% failure rate looks very high and signifies higher risks in investing in start-ups. If we are able to reduce it even by few % points, it will benefit the customers, industry and investors to a great extent. The additional money available with investors can trigger a new boom.

When we look at the key reasons for failure, they can be categorized into 4 buckets

1   Product / Customer mapping (40-50%), which covers all the transformational aspects the product is going bring to customers life. It could be features, cost, delivery mechanism, when/how it is going to be launched, how they are positioned/marketed, what is the competition, how it is better for customer than its competition, if it is pathbreaking, then what are its unique benefits to customer, what is going to change for customer after using the product, what is the ultimate value customer is expected to get from the product, etc. These all relate to failure in understanding the needs of customer and/or failure to address them through the product. Sometimes, the customer needs evolve over a period of time and product fails to catch up with appropriate changes resulting in failure of capturing customer wallet share.   

2   Financial challenges (25-35%), which cover lack of funding, high cost, low volumes, low margins, cashflow issues etc. Poor cashflow management creates significant challenges to operate and grow.  

3   People / Relationship related challenges (15-20%), which covers non availability of skilled team, poor leadership, poor HR practices, poor relations with investors, leadership getting distracted, lack of agility to adopt to changes, etc. This stifles the organization and fails to generate the enthusiasm as well as focus required in the early stage of the life cycle. 

4   Others (10-20%) which include Technology related issues, Operational challenges, Legal Challenges etc.

As you can see, the biggest bucket relates to customers and their needs being satisfied by the product, which also presents biggest opportunity to improve the success percentage. I am going to discuss a framework which can help start-up entrepreneurs and their team understand customer better, validate their needs better and determine whether the product they have in mind is viable or not early in the game. This will result in creating a product which is better aligned with customer needs, raising its chances of success. This framework is called as Differentiated Needs Pyramid. It uses a principle that “customer has multiple needs from a product / service and every need fulfilled by a product gives different level of satisfaction / experience, and customer makes a decision based on aggregate satisfaction score”. Certain needs once satisfied give overwhelming experience where as certain needs do not move the needle for customer experience upon satisfaction. The game is to identify these needs and satisfy the needs which give higher level of experience. This helps creating a good bond between product and customer increasing its chances of success.

Let us dive a little deeper in to the framework and how it could be used by start-ups.

Differentiated Needs Pyramid, the framework

Differentiated Needs Pyramid provides a way for logical segregation of needs based on the impact they create on customer satisfaction / experience resulting into a specific buying behavior. The following picture illustrates the 5 levels of needs for a product which is going to be launched by a start-up. The needs are stacked in a manner to provide ascending level of satisfaction. Needs at level 1, when fulfilled, provides lower level of satisfaction than those at level 4.



The first level covers customer needs such as basic features / capabilities that a product should have; without which they will not look at it. Also, one needs to look at how these features / capabilities compare with competing products available to the customer.

Once basic needs are satisfied regarding features / capabilities, customer needs to understand how secure they are or how / where they are made available or how data is handled etc. customers will have specific needs in this area so unless these are addressed, product is not aligned with customer.

The needs at first two levels are simple and easy to identify; most of the competing products will have them. They become table stakes rather than becoming a factor determining alignment & purchase decision. So, the product being launched must have a way to satisfy these. The next two levels i.e. Level 3 and Level 4 are the key levels which drive the decision making for customer.

The third level will address the customers needs to feel connected or be part of some community; The needs to feel life simplified or enhanced; the need to feel camaraderie with like minded people; the need to feel like family taking care of each other etc. e.g. If your product has a feature which enables a transaction in a single click instead of many complicated steps with data entries etc., you have addressed one need of making life simple. The product customer alignment is a bit stronger now and can influence the purchase decision.

Forth level talks about the needs of customer to feel elated or free or strong or proud about something. Do you know what your customer would like to feel proud about and is your product satisfying this need in some form? E.g. If customer has a need to feel unique amongst his peers, if your product can satisfy his need somehow, then you are taking your customer on a high, elevating product customer alignment to significantly which should result in purchase decision.

Fifth level is ultimate, which means your product satisfies all the needs that customer may have from such kind of product and he does not have to look anywhere else. This is an ultimate state and normally not achieved.

How to use this framework?

There are four simple steps that the start-up should take so that they can achieve a better alignment of their product with their customers. These are, Create consolidated list of needs, Level wise segregation of needs, Map features v/s needs and identify gaps and Create an action plan.

a.      Create a consolidated list of needs

First step is to list down all the needs that customers can have from this product. They can talk with potential customers, read journals, study competitor products and their customers to see if you can find some needs that the products are not satisfying. Each feature could be a need, some customer fears could translate in to needs, some social media discussions can provide indication about needs, some industry/technology challenge can suggest a few needs. All these needs are consolidated in to a list. It is critical to identify the needs by grouping the customers in to specific groups/segments who are likely to behave in similar manner with respect to product consumption. If there are diverse groups, then create the specific lists for each group.

b.     Level wise segregation of Needs

Each need is then analyzed to determine the level it belongs to. A simple feature in the product could be part of level 1 needs, where as a simplified process (e.g. one click operation discussed in earlier paragraph) could be a level 3 need. At the end of this step, we have level wise list of needs of customer from our product.

c.      Map product features / capabilities with the needs and Identify Gaps

In this step, you map your features / capabilities in the product with needs. Identify which needs are getting fully satisfied with your product features, which are getting partly satisfied and which are not getting satisfied. At the end of this step, you have a level wise list of needs with understanding of degree of satisfaction at each level and gaps that needs to be filled.  This mapping portrays a clear picture about alignment between product and customer.

d.     Create action plan

If the alignment between product and customer is tight, you can go ahead and move forward with the product. If there are gaps, then a determination needs to be made about can we fulfill these gaps through additional feature / capabilities? If yes, then include these feature / capabilities in product spec and run the mapping again to confirm. If gaps can not be fulfilled through any feature / capability, the product most likely will not be liked by customers and may be dropped.

How to use this framework in the start-up lifecycle

To be a successful product, a start-up must apply the Differentiated Needs Pyramid framework throughout its lifecycle. Its application at every stage provides a clear picture of how the product-customer alignment is progressing and increases the confidence of success in the end. It also provides a clear idea of challenges product may face early in the lifecycle and enables mid-course correction. The results of the framework application can also create a Go-NoGo decision point early in the game to safeguard the investment.  

a.      Ideation

A start-up starts with an idea of doing something differently / efficiently, or building something new, or bringing in some new technology to transform certain processes / functions etc. Typically, it starts with one core need of the customer that needs to be fulfilled. Once the Idea gets groomed, features get added, clarity regarding customer base appears. Once the feature bundle reaches basic comfort level, it is time to build the first Differentiated Needs Pyramid and perform gap analysis. This exercise will certainly provide more clarity on “target customer” as well as “features in the product”. After a couple of rounds of adjusting the features, MVP definition could be completed with clear understanding of what goes in MVP and What goes in the final products with all the bells and whistles.

b.     MVP

After MVP is prepared and checked with select users, we come to know how the product is actually performing; is it really satisfying all the needs as it is supposed to? This is another stage where the Differentiated Needs Pyramid is reviewed and Gap analysis is made. Some actions might come out of this analysis, which can enhance the product further

There is a chance that customer needs might change while the product is being built due to some factors like introduction of new technology, new product launched by competition, changes in some regulations etc. These also needs to be captured while reviewing the Differentiated Needs Pyramid and Gap analysis and addressed appropriately.

c.      Launch

Once these fixes are completed, product is launched and real customers start using the product. Hopefully, we have understood the customer needs well and build the products catering to these so we expect a good acceptance from customer. This is the time where we review the Differentiated Needs Pyramid based on customer feedback and create another Gap document which can help building next releases of the product.

d.     Scale Up

The product is successful in a first customer segment and we are now ready to scale up to include wider customer base and geographies. This is another point where Differentiated Needs Pyramid needs to be redrawn. We might be scaling the product to different customer segments based on culture, geographies, countries, languages, income strata, etc. The Differentiated Needs Pyramid should be drawn separately for each segment as the needs from each segment might be different. We will get the gaps for each segment and an idea what needs to be done with product before it goes big.

e.      Continue the relevance in long term

Once the product is successful in wider customer base, it is a good practice to review the Differentiated Needs Pyramid every six months to incorporate the changes in the business environment, competitive scenario, and other changes. This will help the start-up in keeping the product relevant to its customer and this alignment will drive its success on the demand front.

Detailed explanation about Differentiated Needs Pyramid, its construction and usage are available in my book “Customer Experience Decoded” available on Amazon https://www.amazon.com/dp/8195052657. You can always reach out to me for any discussion you may want to have about your specific situation.

Friday, February 7, 2025

Classic Investment Dilemma – Conversational AI vs Generative AI vs Agentic AI? Approach for resolution using Differentiated Needs Pyramid.


This is the year of AI; where we see discussion about AI in every forum, from World Economic Forum, to every Technology company, to every Government, to Environmental bodies, to NGOs, to Industrial bodies and to individuals like you and me. AI is touching every one’s life and have a broad spectrum of feelings about it. Some are excited to the brim and some are frightened to the core; others fall in between. The discussions hover around topics like Benefits that AI can bring-in in terms of efficiency & effectiveness, challenges in terms of misuse, regulations that might be required, environmental impact of the energy usage, Data privacy and Copyright protection, Job loss and job creation, new strategies for business and war, realignment of human life, etc. AI has potential to disrupt everyone’s life; everyone is trying to realign and cope up with the change. This paranoia is justified to an extent as we have just seen the tip of iceberg. We have seen what technology is capable of in the laboratories and there is a lot of speculation on what is its full potential. So far three themes have emerged for industry to use i.e. Conversational AI, Generative AI and Agentic AI, where the technology has been productized for specific business scenarios. Significant experimentation is underway to test them and get the advantage as an early adopter. Multiple options are available for companies and they have to make a right choice to get the best ROI. One of the major challenges with this new technology is the investment required, even for prototyping or building a POC. Companies are in dilemma of where to invest and looking for help in making this decision. Since the technology is new, results at scale are unknown. ROI calculations do not give correct results as they are based on assumptions of unknown. Organizations are seeking additional validation, which looks at this situation differently and helps making the investment decision. I am going to talk about one such approach using Differentiate Needs Pyramid in this article which can help organizations in their decision-making process.

Let us quickly look at what is Conversational AI, Generative AI and Agentic AI.

Conversational AI is a type of artificial intelligence that allows computers to simulate human conversations. It uses natural language processing to understand and process human language. It can help machines interact with humans in a more natural way by simulating human conversations like Chatbots, Virtual assistants

Generative AI is a type of AI that can create new content like text, images, and videos. It uses large AI models, called foundation models, to learn from existing data and generate new data with similar characteristics. It can create conversations, stories, images, videos, and music. It can learn human language, programming languages, art, chemistry, biology, or any complex subject matter. It can help streamline the workflow of creatives, engineers, researchers, and scientists. e.g ChatGPT, DeepSeek

Agentic AI is a type of artificial intelligence, that can act autonomously to achieve goals. It's designed to interpret context, make decisions, and take actions with minimal human intervention. It understands the context of a problem and the user's goals. It uses machine learning, natural language processing, and automation technologies to make decisions. It can adapt to new information and changing circumstances. It can learn and improve through each interaction. It is like creating a autonomous co-worker.

Let us take an example of most popular playground for implementation of AI i.e. Service Desk. There are multiple products and use case scenarios covering Conversational AI, Agentic AI as well as Generative AI. Let us assume that a company wants to introduce AI in its service deck operations for Claims processing. The objective is to provide a better customer experience as well as reduce the cost of operations in long run. Now we will assess the situation using Differentiated Needs Pyramid. Let us first draw Differentiated Needs Pyramid for the Service Desk Service with two customer groups in mind i.e. Customer who is raising the claim and second, Management, which is internal customer. Leader of Service Desk operations is trying to improve experience for both set of customers from the operations by implementation of AI. The picture blow showcases what are the needs at different levels for each customer group. The customer experience improves as the needs at higher levels are satisfied.


Organization would have identified multiple use cases to be implemented so that collectively they give the required boost in customer experience as well as bottom line desired by management. We now need to look at all the use cases and test their impacts on each of the needs.  If the impact is positive, customer is happier with implementation of that use case. This is a “thumbs-up” for implementation from that customer segment. If the need is not going to get satisfied, then customer is going to struggle and unhappy. This is “thumbs-down” for implementation, unless use case is tweaked to satisfy the specific customer need or additional investment done for training.

Let us assume that for this organization, two needs “Immediate availability of agent- Level 1 need” and “Agent helps through the entire process – Level 3 need” are not satisfied for customer. To address this, organization wants to implement a simple use case for “Initial conversation with customer and providing him the status of the claim along with some information” as a part of conversational AI implementation program. The ROI calculations look favorable and need additional validation that ROI calculations will materialize. We now need to assess the impact of implementing each step /action in the use case on  the level of need satisfaction/ customer experience improvement. If we get positive results, the customer will support this initiative and it will be a success.  

The high-level steps could be as follows

  1. Customer Calls to understand status of a claim and what needs to be done to expedite the same
  2. Within 3 rings, Conversational AI bot picks up the call (This is a big positive with respect to needs satisfaction, if the conversation moves smoothly, customers will be happy to adopt)
  3. Bot welcomes customer and asks reason for call
  4. Customer tells the reason in his own style
  5. Bot deciphers customer answer and replays its understanding to customer
  6. Bot keeps on asking differently until its understanding matches with customer (There is a rule set up that if the understanding does not match within 3-4 tries, the call will move to human agent queue – This rule is applicable for every conversation) (if bot is able to understand the conversation, this is very positive. The % of time, bot needs to hand over the call to human agent queue will determine the success. Higher the % lower is the satisfaction. This also tells that model will need more training to be successful, i.e. more investment for the organization)  
  7. Once the understanding is correct, bot asks specific questions (specific to a situation understood through earlier conversation) to get identity of customer and fetch the record. 
  8. Customer provides the information
  9. Bot will try multiple options if the primary option is not available with customer during the conversation. This conversation to continue till bot gets the information to fetch the record from the system
  10. Bot shares another parameter fetched from the system with customer to reconfirm the identity.  
  11. Customer confirms and conversation moves to the next step
  12. Bot provides the status of the claim to customer e.g. it is pending for xyz approval
  13. Customer asks how this process could be expedited, (or any similar question)
  14. Bot again performs the routine about matching its understanding with customer and once match is achieved, provides an answer e.g. they want some additional information from customer (Success here depends on training for open ended questions. Higher the training, better results – overall customer satisfaction depends on completing the transaction in one channel i.e. through bot or through agent. If they need to shift, the waiting increases, resulting in dissatisfaction and reluctance for usage)
  15. Customer provides that information
  16. Bot records this information in to the system and confirms new date for approval
  17. Customer thanks bot
  18. Bot asks if there is anything else that customer needs
  19. Customer says that he is looking for information on an unrelated topic
  20. Bot again confirms the understanding and directs him to either another bot or a human agent for taking it forward.

Similar assessment could be done with needs of other customer segment i.e. Internal Customer- Management to see the impact

We need to look at all the use cases under consideration using differentiated needs pyramid to identify impact on the customer experience. This feedback is then combined with the ROI calculations regarding investments, savings, productivity gains etc. can provide correct picture of what will work and what will not. We consider volume reduction as one of the parameters for considering savings, this reduction will occur only if the “Complete” transaction is executed by bot. If bot has to transfer the call to human agent, volume reduction calculations go wrong and ROI is not materialized. Thus ROI calculations supported by Assessment through Differentiated Needs Pyramid gives confidence to organization to go ahead with AI initiative.

Detailed explanation about Differentiated Needs Pyramid, its construction and usage are available in my book “Customer Experience Decoded” available on Amazon https://www.amazon.com/dp/8195052657. You can always reach out to me for any discussion you may want to have about your specific situation.